Explaining conditional probabilties

Steven Strogatz has a go at demonstrating the Bayes’ Box, without the box.  Hundreds of befuddled and off-topic comments ensue.  I teach this thing in about an hour, and all my students can do it.

Tip from Andrew Gelman (commenter #17).

Update (4 May).  More from Kaiser Fung.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s